Survey the Effect of Types of Renewable and Non-renewable Energies Consumption on Economic Welfare in Iran

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 MA student in Economic Systems Planning, Shahrood University of Technology, Shahrood, Iran

2 Assistant Professor of Economics, Shahrood University of Technology, Shahrood, Iran

Abstract

The role of energy for welfare and economic development of countries highlights importance of energy. So far, no major study was conducted on the effects of energy on economic welfare in Iran. Hence, this study surveys the effect of the consumption of renewable and non-renewable energy on economic welfare in Iran during the period 1981-2018. ARDL model and cointegration approach had used to determine the existence of short-term and long-term relationships among variables. Estimation results show adjustment speed of error correction model to long-term equilibrium is about 61%. The relationship between economic welfare and exogenous variables such per-capita GDP, labor force, Gini index and types of renewable and non-renewable energy sources (solar, wind, water, geothermal, oil, gas and gasoline) is straightforward in short and long terms. One percent incraseing in the exogenous variables of research leads to an increase of 0.85, 0.66, 0.45, 0.61, 0.56, 0.36, 0.31, 0.72, / 76, and 0.34 percent in the welfare of society. Despite the relative abundance and non-optimal use of non-renewable energy (oil and gas) in Iran, the positive effect of renewable energy on economic welfare indicates use of this type of energy along with non-renewable energy will increase economic welfare.

Keywords


[1]   F. Eelkani, A. A. Naji Meidani, M. Salimi far, The effect of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on economic welfare of selected countries, MAr Thesis, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, 2016. (in Persian)
[2]   N. Kargar Dehbidi, E. Ghorbanian, M. H. Tarazkar, The Impact of Renewable and Non-Renewable Energies Consumption on Economic growth in D-8 group countries. Journal of New Economy and Trade, Vol. 15, No. 2, pp. 67-90, 2020.
 [3]  M. Tahami Pour, S. Abedi, R. Karimi Baba Ahmadi, M. Ebrahimi Zadeh, The Investigation of Renewable Energy Effects on Iranian Per Capita Real Economic Growth. Journal of Iranian Energy Economics, Vol. 5, No. 19, pp. 53–77, 2016. (in Persian)
[4] M. H. Fotros, A. Aghazadeh, S. Jabraili, Impact of Economic Growth on the Consumption of Renewable Energy: A Comparative Study of Selected OECD and Non-OECD (Including Iran) Countries, Journal of Economic Research and Policies, Vol. 19, No. 60, pp. 81–98, 2011. (in Persian)
[5] S. Shafiei, M.H. Sabouri Deylami, The need to review energy production and consumption methods in the Iranian economy, Economic Journal, Vol. 10, No. 11, pp. 21-42, 2011. (in Persian)
[6] A. Belke, F. Dobnik, C. Dreger, Energy consumption and economic growth: New insights into the cointegration relationship. Energy Economics, Vol. 5, No. 33, pp. 782-789, 2011.
[7] Bayramoglu, A. T., & Yildirim, E., The relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the USA: a non-linear ARDL bounds test approach. Energy and Power Engineering, Vol. 9, No. 3, p. 170, 2017.
[8] M. Shahbaz, C. Raghutla, K.R. Chittedi, Z. Jiao, X.V. Vo, The effect of renewable energy consumption on economic growth: Evidence from the renewable energy country attractive index. Energy, Vol. 207, p. 118162, 2020.
[9] E. Ghaed, A. A. Naji Meidani, M. Raji Asadabadi, Investigation of the Role Renewable and new energieson the Inflation Rate of Iran, Journal of Renewable and New Energy, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 125-131, 2021. (in Persian)
[10] H. Rahimi, A Study of the Relationship between Economics and Energy Resources and Their Impacts on the Environment, 3rd International Conference on Research in Science and Technology, Berlin, Germany, July 2016. (in Persian)
 [11] M. S. Khani, E. Fallahi, M. Baneshi., Modeling for Energy Supply Management in Iran Based on Technical, Economic and Environmental Criteria, Journal of Iranian Energy Economic, Vol. 5, No. 18, pp. 29-60, 2016. (in Persian)
[12] M. Rezaei, Statistical Report of Renewable and New Energy of Iran, Organization of Renewable Energy and Electricity Productivity (SATBA), Ministry of Energy, 2018. (in Persian)
[13] A. Dehghani, E. Ghaed, M. T. Ahmadi Shadmehri, The effect Types of renewable resources On Iranian Electricity Production, Journal of Renewable and New Energy, Vol. 7, No. 2, pp. 41-47, 2021. (in Persian)
[14] R. Maleki, Investigating the causal relationship between energy consumption and domestic production in Iran, The Journal of Planning and Budgeting, Vol. 9, No. 6, pp. 81-121, 2002. (in Persian)
[15] Y. Fang, Economic welfare impacts from renewable energy consumption: The China experience. Renewable and sustainable energy Reviews, Vol. 15, No. 9, pp. 5120-5128, 2011.
[16] T. Güney, Renewable energy, non-renewable energy and sustainable development. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, Vol. 26, No. 5, pp. 389-397, 2019.
[17] A. Omri, F. Belaïd, Does renewable energy modulate the negative effect of environmental issues on the socio-economic welfare?. Journal of Environmental Management, Vol. 278, p. 111483, 2021.
[18] D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson, J. Robinson, Understanding prosperity and poverty: Geography, institutions and the reversal of fortune. Understanding poverty, First Edit., pp. 19-36, Oxford University Press, 2006.
[19] O. Edenhofer, R. Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, K. Seyboth, S. Kadner, T. Zwickel, P. Eickemeier, G. Hansen, S. Schlömer, C. von Stechow, P. Matschoss, Renewable energy sources and climate change mitigation: Special report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. First Edit., Cambridge University Press, 2011.
[20] V. Druzhynina, G. Likhonosova, G. Lutsenko, Assessment welfare of the population in the synergetic system of socio-economic exclusion. Маркетинг і менеджмент інновацій, No. 2, pp. 54-68, 2018.
 [21] M. Gholizadeh, M. Wolter, Cost-beneficial Analysis of Utilizing a Combination of Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Sources. 2020 55th International Universities Power Engineering Conference (UPEC), pp. 1-5, IEEE, Turin, Italy, 2020.
[22] A. Aminifard, M. Daneshmand Shirazi, The Impact of  Renewable Energy Consumption (Clean) on Economic Welfare in Iran, First National Conference Clean Energy (ACEC 2011), Kerman, Iran, 2011. (in Persian)
[23] K. Abdi, M. Daneshmand Shirazi, The effect of clean energy consumption on the economic well-being of urban and rural households in Iran, the 1 th  conference and  Exhibition on environmental, energy and clean industry, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, December, 2013. (in Persian)
[24] E. Rafighi, Renewable energy consumption and economic prosperity in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), The 1 th Annual Congress on World and Energy Crisis, Shiraz, Iran, 2015. (in Persian)
[25] Z. Shir Zour Aliabadi, F. Samadi, The Impact of Renewable Energy Consumption on Economic Welfare, 1rd International Conference and 4rd National Conference on Natural Resources and Environment Protection, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran, 2019. (in Persian)
[26] R. Inglesi-Lotz, The impact of renewable energy consumption to economic growth: A panel data application. Energy economics, Vol. 53, pp. 58-63, 2016.
[27] A. N. Menegaki, C. T. Tugcu, Rethinking the energy-growth nexus: Proposing an index of sustainable economic welfare for Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Research & Social Science, Vol. 17, pp. 147-159, 2016.
[28] A. N. Menegaki, C. T. Tugcu, Energy consumption and Sustainable Economic Welfare in G7 countries; A comparison with the conventional nexus. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 69, pp. 892-901, 2017.
[29] A. N. Menegaki, A. C. Marques, J. A. Fuinhas, Redefining the energy-growth nexus with an index for sustainable economic welfare in Europe. Energy, Vol. 141, pp. 1254-1268, 2017.
[30] J. Husein, S. M. Kara, Nonlinear ARDL estimation of tourism demand for Puerto Rico from the USA. Tourism Management, Vol. 77, p. 103998, 2020.
[31] N. Y. Tingi, L. S. Lingii, Okun’s Law in Malaysia: An autoregressive distributed LAG (ARDL) approach with Hodrick-Prescott (HP) fitler. Journal of Global Business and Economics, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 95-103, 2011.
[32] I. K. Maji, Does clean energy contribute to economic growth? Evidence from Nigeria. Energy Reports, No. 1, pp. 145-150, 2015.
[33] N. Apergis, J. E. Payne, Renewable and non-renewable energy consumption-growth nexus: Evidence from a panel error correction model. Energy economics, Vol. 34, No. 3, pp. 733-738, 2012.
[34] M. Nofaresti, The Root of Unity in Econometrics, First Edit., pp. 91-102, Tehran: Rasa Cultural Services Institute, 2008. (in Persian)
[35] G. E. Bassey, U. M. Ekong, Energy Consumption and Inflation Dynamics in Nigeria: An ARDL Cointegration Approach. Energy Economics Letters, Vol. 6, No. 2, pp. 66-83, 2019.
[36] A. Tashkini, Applied econometrics with the help of Microfit, First Edit., Tehran: Diba Garan Cultural Institute, 2005. (in Persian)
[37] Halada, K., Masanori, S. and Kiyoshi, L, Forecasting of the Consumption of Metals up to 2050, Materials Transactions. Vol. 49, No. 3, pp. 402- 410, 2008.