Assessment of Wind Turbine Reliability Using Block Diagram Model

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Assistant Professor, Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

2 Master’s student, Department of Renewable Energy and Environment, Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of Tehran, Iran

3 PhD student, Department of Renewable Energy and Environment, Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Reliability assessment of renewable energy systems is a key step in evaluating the feasibility of renewable energy projects. The assessment can provide valuable information on the availability and reliability, operation and maintenance strategies, and operating costs of systems. In this regard, the present study analyzes the reliability parameters of a wind turbine system using a statistical / simulation approach. To this end, the Reliability block diagram has been used for modeling the problem which has the capability of analyzing complex systems with a high number of components while providing simplicity and transparency in the concept presentation. For the modeling and simulation, RAM Commander software developed by ALD software company was utilized. The block diagram model was developed considering a series arrangement (8 subsystems and 94 components) and taking into account the probability distributions of failure time, repair time, and other reliability data for each block. results were then obtained by implementing the Monte Carlo algorithm. The results of this study contain the values of reliability, availability, and failure rate for a turbine during its lifetime. According to the results, the average availability of a turbine over a 20-year life span was more than 0.999. At 25 points, the turbine needed repairs, and the mean time between failures was calculated to be 7008 hours. The mean time between system critical (catastrophic) failures is 77928 hours. Also, the sensitivity analysis of the model to changing input variables is presented.

Keywords


[1]   Wind Power Capacity Worldwide, Accessed 19 May 2021; https://wwindea.org.
[2]   S. Einarsson, Wind turbine reliability modeling, MSc Thesis in Sustainable Energy Engineering, Reykjavik University, Iceland, 2016.
[3]   R. Billinton and RN. Allan, Reliability evaluation of engineering systems, New York: Plenum press, 1992.
[4]   S. Nigel, S. Chambers, and R. Johnston. Operations management, Pearson education, 2010.
[5]   S. Sheng and P. Veers, Wind Turbine Drivetrain Condition Monitoring - An Overview. Proceedings of the Mechanical Failures Prevention Group, Applied Systems Health Management Conference, 2011.
[6]   RBDs and Analytical System Reliability, Accessed 19 May 2021; http://www.reliawiki.com/index.php/RBDs_and_Analytical_Systm_Reliability.
[7]   B. Domingues, Wind Turbine Reliability and OPEX forcasting, 2015.
[8]    M. Sheldon, Introductin To Probability And Statistics For Engineers And Scientists. First Edit., United Kingdom: John Wiley & Sons, 1987.
[9]   A. Høyland and M. Rausand, System reliability theory: models and statistical methods, Second Edition, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, 2009.
[10] IEA Annual Wind Report 2014 Task 33, Accessed 19 May 2021; http://www.ieawind.org/task_33.html.
[11] S. Sheng, Report on wind turbine subsystem reliability-a survey of various databases, National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), 2013.
[12] S. Faulstich, P. Lyding, and B. Hahn, Component reliability ranking with respect to WT concept and external environmental conditions, Integrated Wind Turbine Design Upwind Deliverable WP7, 2010.
[13] P. Tavner, How are we going to make offshore wind farms more reliable?, Supergen Wind report, 2011.
[14] Reliability Analysis of Wind Turbines, Accessed 19 May 2021; https://www.intechopen.com/books/stability-control-and-reliable-performance-of-wind-turbines.
[15] M. Martin-Tretton, M. Reha, M. Drunsic, M. Keim , Data Collection for Current US Wind Energy Projects: Component Costs, Financing, Operations, and Maintenance, National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), 2012.
[16] R. Poore and C. Walford, Development of an Operations and Maintenance Cost Model to Identify Cost of Energy Savings for Low Wind Speed Turbines, National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL), 2008.
[17] G. Wilson, D. McMillan and G. Ault, Modelling the effects of the environment on wind turbine failure modes using neural networks, International Conference on Sustainable Power Generation and Supply (SUPERGEN 2012), pp. 1-6, 2012.